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Coupling toxicity data to ecological models: effects at the population and ecosystem scales

4.1 Introduction

Most ecotoxicological data are collected in bioassays performed at the individual level under exposure to a toxicant in order to monitor the effects on individuals. Ecological modelling arises as a useful tool in specific risk assessments to evaluate the ecological significance of observed or predict effects on individual organisms. Basically, ecological models predict population or ecosystem responses to environmental perturbations using individuals-level endpoints, such as survival, reproduction or growth.

In population models, the dynamics of the abundance or distribution of a single species, commonly divided into different population groups, is described throughout time. Different approaches to model populations have been developed and combined using matrix models, ordinary differential equations, and/or individual-based models, among others. Ecosystem models are also important to interpret the exposure-response data in order to determine which species interactions have effects on the community structure and ecological processes above the population level (e.g. predation or food webs in general). The outcome of those models may be directly relevant to natural resource management and they have been applied successfully in ecological risk assessment associated to toxic chemical issues.

Note: Information about individual-based models see: Grimm and Railsback (2005) (chapter 1)

More information on different types of ecological models, their input and output variables, as well as examples of the role of some recommended models in chemical risk assessments can be seen in the following paper:


4.2. Case study

Read the following article:


Answer the following questions:

1 - Explain the main aim of this experiment.

2 - What was the type of model used in this study? Why?

3 - What were the main conclusions of this work?


REFERENCES AND FURTHER READINGS

Ashauer R. (2015). Ecotoxicology & Models. Available at: http://www.ecotoxmodels.org/


Forbes VE, Calow P. (2013). Developing predictive systems models to address complexity and relevance for ecological risk assessment. Integrated environmental assessment and management 9(3): 75-80. DOI: 10.1002/ieam.1425


Galic N, Hommen U, Baveco JM, van den Brink PJ. (2010). Potential application of population models in the European ecological risk assessment of chemicals II: Review of models and their potential to address environmental protection aims. Integrated environmental assessment and management 6(3): 338-360. DOI: 10.1002/ieam.68


Grimm V, Railsback SF. (2005). Individual-based modeling and ecology. Princeton University Press. Available at: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/8108.html


Jager T, Klok C. (2010). Extrapolating toxic effects on individuals to the population level: the role of dynamic energy budgets. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 365(1557): 3531-3540. DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2010.0137


Lopes C, Pery A, Chaumot A, Charles S. (2005). Ecotoxicology and population dynamics: Using DEBtox models in a Leslie modeling approach. Ecological modelling 188(1): 30-40.
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.05.004


Meli M, Palmqvist A, Forbes VE, Groeneveld J, Grimm V. (2013). Two pairs of eyes are better than one: Combining individual-based and matrix models for ecological risk assessment of chemicals. Ecological Modelling 280: 40-52.
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2013.07.027